Tuesday, February 28, 2006
The past few days in Iraq has certainly been an eye opener to a great many people. The last days sectarian tension has certainly shown the true faces and intensions of certain people and the true dangers facing Iraq. I personally thing that the end game is almost upon us, and as much as I want to be optimistic about the outcome, I am not holding much hope for Iraq in the near to medium term future. There are just too many external and internal forces pushing and pulling at Iraq’s soul and I fear America has long lost both the good will and support of the average Iraqi people to be of any significance in the process. The only thing that America can do now is try to stand back and offer as much logistical and technical support to the people it deems to be worthy.. (kida what they are doing right now in fact).. Also their presence will make any outbreak of an all out civil war that much more less unlikely, simply out of fear from of the warring factions of American reprisals if they step too much out of line.
The reasons why I think the political process is doomed are simple in fact. They are born out of what I have seen from the political factions and their motivations which are simply centered around gaining and consolidating power.
What the events of the past few days show is a clear signal from the Shia political body that they are not interested in sharing power with anyone and that if this government is not formed according to their own wishes then separation will be the only resort.
I know that some of you will say how did u come to this conclusion, but we simply have to read between the lines to work it out. Most of the News and media outlets that belong to the UIA have been very critical of the American ambassador’s comments lately and these past few days we have seen a great escalation in the rhetoric calling for separation and the establishment of the Shia state in the south..
What this clearly shows is that the UIA and its leadership has read the script and has decided that if they cannot hole power in Baghdad then they sure as hell will make Baghdad irrelevant and establish a new power base in the south where they can hold court without any interference from those pesky Americans and their Iraqi Kurdish and liberal allies.
Of course such a step will be slightly problematic at first, for it requires the pretext of a threat of the civil war, but as we have seen the past few days, such a threat can easily be stage managed. And thus (and to Iraq’s great misfortune) the UIA leadership will take great heart from the events of the last few days and they will most likely keep the events of the past few days in mind.
The upside of such a step is that the shi’a factions themselves are quite divided and there is every guarantee that as soon as such a state is established, these same factions who are allies of a kind now will turn on each other and fight over control of the resources and power in the south.
It is almost tempting to allow such a course of events to finally take their course, as that will lead us quickly to the final settlement in Iraq, but one must not be so flippant about such things. A civil war in Iraq which leads to the fragmentation to the country will bring about huge civilian casualties and untold suffering on a scale hard to imagined. Also , such events are hard to predict the outcome of and could lead to a region wide struggle of power which will most definitely impact on the world and global economy…
This brings me back to the top.. So what do I think.. In my humble opinion, I think the fools and idiots running the show will bring disaster upon us all. I have seen nothing so far to make me think that these crazies have an ounce of brain cells between them. And when the asylum members break out of the asylum, the sane villagers better run.
Friday, February 24, 2006
Sunnis and Shi'a.....
Going through some of the Iraqi led posts and comments lately, I have noticed a bit of a backlash from fellow Iraqi Shia’s concerning comments that I and other Iraqis posts criticizing the UIA and the Shia’ parties and spicifically the Merje3ia’s of Nejef and Karbella. It seams that the tension has come to such a level that even any small criticism is not welcomed no matter how accurate or appropriate it may be..
So I believe it’s time to Dot some I’s and cross some T’s , ,, and I plead with any other Iraqi who reads this post to engage with me to clarify what this problem is..
AS I have mentioned before, I’m a shia’ by birth and heritage.. I was born to a father who is a practising shia (i’e he follows certain shi’a rules when it comes to praying and life rituals). I on the other hand, don’t.. you could say, I’m a non practising shi’a.. heck, I’m a non practicing Muslem to be more precise.. But I do believe in the ultimate truth that the Caliphate and the true hairs of Islam were the sons of Ali (pbuh), Hassan and Hussain.
My points is, I don’t need some guy in a black turban telling me what to do, how to pray and what to think in order for me to be a good Shi’a or a good Muslem,, and Neither should any other Shia for that matter…
I know this Sunni Shia tension has been boiling over in Iraq since days gone past. I only need to talk to my 80 year old Sunni grandmother (my Mothers mothers),, to realise the great animosity some Sunnis hold towards the traditions and practises of the Shi’a community. Thing’s like bloodletting in Ashura, Zawag al-mut3a (happy one night only marriages), and the perceived worshipping of shrines, are usually first to be mentioned.
Also being a Shi’a is also inadvertently linked to being of a lower social class in Iraqi society and this is something the Iraqis got during the Ottoman empire occupation and control of Iraq as most of the ruling and wealthy families were of Sunni decent brought over from Turkey and were loyal to the empire.. Naturally, this is something that the British also inherited when they took over Iraq at the turn of the century and this status quo has lasted to this day. So, it must be made clear that the tensions between the two factions has more to do with an economic basis than a religious bases. And the fact that some people want to turn it into a religious one really gets on my nerves.
What happened this week has truly brought this tension and animosity to the forefront, (with the help of some scrupulous meddling of some people of course), we have seen thousands of desperate Shi’a go to the streets and vent their anger at the Sunni community. What upsets me is that this has and was nurtured and urged upon from the so called leaders of the Shia community.. They have continually nurtured this illusion of a tension in order to best serve their political aspirations. These leaders have acted irresponsibly towards their constituents and Iraq, and it is for this reason that I absolutely abhore them.
As for the militia’s. I really want to hear one Shia Iraqi come out with it and condemn these barbarians. And NO,, the Shia militia’s are not the same as the Beshmerga of Kurdistan, and they have proven that time and time again.. the Mehdi Army and Bedr Berigades are o more than Mafia Mudering thugs intents on doing everything that Iran asks of them,, they are not Loyal to Iraq and they must be crushed.. Any politician that supports these private mafias has no place in Iraqi politics and should be discredited.
There is so much more I would like to say, but as usually, My talent for writing is limited and my mind looses focus after a while.. I just wanted to point out that we as Iraqis need to finally come together. Sunni , Shia, and Kurd, and finally work out this problem together.. we cannot let our country go down the pan like this after all the sacrifices and blood that have been shed.. We must not let brainless politicians dictate how we must think and who we must hate.. WE ARE ALL BROTHERS AND SISTERS OF IRAQ,,, I KNOW WE CAN GET THROUGH THIS..
Thursday, February 23, 2006
GOD BLESS IRAQ AND KEEP IT SAFE >> INSHA ALLAH
So where do I start.. My heart is breaking to see my country go down this dark and dangerous road. I know that this was probably inevitable but still we all had hope that it would not come to this.
What happened yesterday with the destruction of the Samarra Mosque and the consequent Shia’a militia rampage is IMO the final straw that breaks the camels back.. We have finally come to the end of the road, and I don’t say this lightly,
the civil war is finally upon us..
I’ve been going over what happened with friends here and in Iraq,, And most of my relatives agree that this was a well organised and deliberately staged event planned to finally push the country down the road of civil disorder and segregation.
The story from eye witnesses in Samarra is that in the early hours of the morning, a large contingent of men dressed in interior ministry uniforms and driving recognisable ministry of interior vehicles entered the shia’a mosque and arrested/removed the guards from the building. After 20-30 minutes these men left the building and the area and 15 minutes after that the explosion occurred..
I have no way of confirming this story, however I have heard it now from quite a few deferent sources including a friend of mine who actually works in the green zone in Baghdad….
The provocation of the destruction of the greatly revered and holly shrine to the Shia’ community is a great pretext for the militia’s to finally get the go ahead and hit the streets to show everyone in the NEW IRAQ who is the top Dog now.. Within hours of the news of the destruction of the mosque, thousands of Shia’ts from poor areas all over the country , URGED on by the militias went on a rampage destroying Sunni Mosques and attacking Sunni neighbour hoods. There are varying reports, but thus far over 50 Sunni mosques have been attacked thus far, many burnt to rubble.. Over 20 Sunni Imams killed. 11 in the city of Basra where, as the report goes, these Imams were in Interior ministries custody when a group of masked men stormed the prison and with the help and support of the police removed them and loaded them onto busses only for them to be found dead on the outscurts of the city.
This Morning I woke up to a report saying that the police have found 50 corpses in a Sunni village just south of Baghdad, and that militia’s are still roaming the streets all over the country attacking and looting whatever they feel..
Things are bad really bad right now..
The politician’s have started bikerring again about who’s to fault.. the UIA is doing its usual drum role speeches about Khelil Zhad, Sunni terrorists and Bathi Sadamists rhetoric,, The Sunni politician’s have threatened that they are ready to pull out of the governmental talks and have accused the Shi’a of double standards and harbouring militia armies bent on dividing the country for their own nefarious plans.. The Kurds and Talabani are trying to hold the peace and try to keep the factions talking.. Sistani and the howzats of Najaf and Karbella are doing a half ass effort of calming the situation.. they talk out of both sides of their mouth, one side says it is wrong for the shia’ to attack the sunnis while from the other side saying that it is ok for them to go on the streets and demonstarate and protect themselves against wahhabi aggression.. (what they need to do in fact is issue a fatwa to stop the militia’s from roaming the streets)..
ALL THIS WHILE THE AVERAGE IRAQI PEOPLE ARE ALL COWERING IN
THEIR HOUSES WAITING FOR THE DUST TO SETTLE.
MAKE OF THIS WHAT U WILL,, PERSONALLY, I THINK THIS IS A WELL CONCIEVED AND CALLOUS PLAN TO BRING CHAOS TO THE COUNTRY WITH THE SOLE AIM OF FINALLY DEVIDING US AND TO BRING ABOUT THE CIVIL WAR THAT OUR NAIGHBOURS DREAM OF.. THIS ALSO SERVES THE INTEREST OF THE UIA AND ITS SUPPORTERS TO WARN THE AMERICANS AND THE OTHER IRAQI FACTIONS TO MIND THEMSELVES AND PUT THEM IN THEIR PLACE,, I.e IF YOU GUYS WANT GOVERNMENTAL POSITIONS IN OUR UIA/SHIA GOVERNMENT U BETTER MARCH TO OUR TUNES OTHERWISE WE WILL BRING IRAQ ON TOP OF EVERYONES HEAD..
I AM SORRY TO SAY THIS, BUT WE HAVE LOST THE WAR IN IRAQ (BY WE, I MEAN ALL OF US WHO DARED TO DREAM OF A PEACEFUL, DEMOCRATIC, CIVILISED, AND MODERN IRAQ),
EITHER WAY NOW WEHAVE LOST..
THE MILITIA’S ARE NOW TOO STRONG TO BE RAIGNED IN NOW,,
IF WE PUSH THE MILITIA’S TOO HARD THEY WILL BRING ABOUT A CIVIL WAR AND MORE DEATH AND DESTRUCTION.. THE MILITIA’S ARE RUN AND BACKED BY IRANIAN REVOLUTIONARY GUARDS WHO HAVE NO PROBLEM IN SEEING IRAQ BURN.
IF WE DON’T PUSH OR CONFRUNT THE MILITIA’S THEN WE ARE WEEK AND WEEKNESS IN THE MIDDLEEAST AND IRAQ IS NEVER TOLERATED. THE AMERICAN AND BRITISH ADMINISTRATION HAVE SHOWN GREAT WEEKNESS THUS FAR AND LOOK WHERE THAT GOT US.
THE FOREIGN WAHHABES HAVE FINALLY GOT THEIR WISH.. THE SPARK OF THE CIVIL WAR HAS FINALLY BEEN LIT AND NOW THEY WILL SEE THIS AS THEIR SIGN TO SEIZE THE OPPORTUNITY TO CAUSE EVEN MORE TENSION AND BLOODSHED.. IN THEIR EYES, A CIVIL WAR WILL ULTIMATELY FORCE THE AMERICAN TROOPS OUT OF IRAQ.
THE UTLIMATE WINNERS ARE SYRIA AND IRAN AND ALL WHO ARE TIED TO THOSE TWO.
GOD BLESS IRAQ and ALL IRAQIS, may he keep them all safe and let this cloud pass over them INSHA ALLAH,.. FOR HE IS THE MOST CAPABLE OF ALL..
Wednesday, February 22, 2006
cry me a river , UIA
So the elections are done and dusted. The results have been announced then double announced then confirmed some more.. the Kuzi has been devoured and everyone has had their fill.
The UIA have of course, through fair or foul means, come up with the majority block of 130 seats and they are flexing their muscles. They think that the game is won. Iraq belongs to the Houzat now.. with their Iranian paymaster by their side their dream of the greater shiastan is finally here and they can start prepairing for the return of the Mehdi..
But, they forget one thing. The idiots forget who put them here. The ungrateful asses forget that they would still be running their circus freak shows back in Qum were it not for the American administration taking pity on them back in 2003 ans allowing them to sit on the negotiating tables. They think that they had consolidated a bit of power and with Iran mullahs at their back, they are SOMETHING NOW,, well I have news for them,,, they better wise up real soon or America is send them and their freak show circus back to TAHRAN with a bomb between their backside..
IT is time for them to realise if they want to be taken seriously as a political entity worth any consideration in Iraqi politics, they must immediately cut ties with Iran, start to show willingness to accept power sharing in Iraq, and to forget this illusion that they are in fact the majority in Iraq (they are not).. Shia’s are the majority religion in Iraq, but the UIA is not Shia’ Iraq.. they are only a political party that represent some part of shia Iraq.. IN FACT, the majority voice in Iraq belongs to the other 140+ seats that represent the Kurds / Allawi/ and the Sunni and independents blocks.. If we are getting technical about it then they are the majority in Iraq and they have as much right to demand the right to nominate the president and prime minister..
The UIA seriously needs to re-examine its position and start to think out of it’s box.. they are living a dream right now. They need to remember how they got to where they are, they need to show a little more gratitude to America. They need to forget about the idea of revenge that they have against the Sunnis. They must cut ties with Iran, they must cut away from the militia’s. ONLY then , will they be taken seriously as a legitimate political force worthy of holding power in the new Iraq…